This thread is a continuation of Curiosity – Alisa Discussion.
I’ll kick off the continuation thread with an update on my weight loss project, which I started on 2021-01-16. The goal was, and is, to lower my BMI from 29.5 to 28. However, I actually gained weight. My BMI got as high as 30 on 2021-05-20. When I weighed myself yesterday, my BMI was 29.64.
The good news is that I have gotten pretty good at tracking my calories in and my calories burned. Ever since 2021-03-01, I’ve been tracking my calorie intake with an app and my calories burned with my apple watch. Usually the data I enter comes from nutrition labels and a scale. Sometimes, I estimate the data for things I ate that I don’t have nutrition info for or that I didn’t weigh.
On 2021-04-26, I wrote that using 1850/day as my basal metabolism makes my predicted weight[1] in the morning when I wake up closely match my actual weight. So far that’s held mostly true, though it looks like 1865/day may be a closer match.
My current weight loss plan, which I’ve been trying since 2021-05-30, is to try to eat and exercise each day so that at least one of the following is true:
- PredictedWeight[this morning] < PredictedWeight[yesterday morning]
- PredictedWeight[tomorrow morning] < PredictedWeight[yesterday morning]
This plan lets me go over my calories for one day as long as I make it up the next day. I like using my predicted weight instead of my actual weight for this because my predicted weight has less variation due to non-energy-factors such as water retention or going to the bathroom.
Since I started on this plan 9 days ago, my predicted weight has gone down by ~0.5 kg. (My actual weight went down by ~1 kg, but I think that’s just normal variance.) I plan to see how well this plan is working over the next month or so, including looking at how my actual weight changes.
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predicted weight = starting weight + (total calories in – total calories burned)/3500 ↩︎