I enjoyed reading this, thanks. Some thoughts and reflections I had along the way:
People, including authors, pundits and academics, will use bad examples and bad evidence despite much better stuff being available.
How do we judge what is best? Is it possible that people use what they found persuasive and their sense of that is badly calibrated?
I have some thoughts but Iâm not confident that I know an answer. Good arguments/evidence means itâs persuasive or resistant to criticism or something like that. Part of the problem is that, while I have a decent idea of what I think my keystone claims are (which I think are resilient and/or persuasive), I donât know what other people (whom I disagree with) think are their keystone claims.
If cooperation is an option (so I can ask what their keystone claims are) then debate trees could solve this. The problem there is the requirement for near synchronicity. Large time gaps would be less of an issue if we publicly maintained debate trees, kind of like how academic journals can have debates that run for decades, but more organized and focused.
Failing that, my intuition says to read and listen and try and figure out what their keystones are, but thatâs what youâve done and found that itâs not very effective.
Do we have a term for âkeystone claimsâ yet? I feel like we should and Iâm just not remembering it.
This resonates with me. Itâs something I had no skill in or appreciation of prior to CF; I think I started really appreciating the idea in the 2020 tutoring.
I canât remember if BoI encourages this much at all, but I think itâs notable that after reading BoI, I was convinced of fallibilism but I didnât really have an appreciation of epistemic humility or know how to practice it, or even know that I should be practicing it. (I still have a lot of room left for improvement, of course.)
Also, thinking about how you changed your mind in the essay and the lengths you went to, I donât think that I would have done that. Which is kind of exciting in that itâs a bit of a glimpse of stuff on the horizon. I donât exactly have the words â itâs like the feeling of an amateur seeing an artisan and knowing that thereâs a whole lot of progress to make if I want it.